Las Vegas playoff race best bet

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When you write as many articles as I do (#HumbleBrag), intros can be everywhere.

In my case, they’re often very game-specific, but sometimes I’m just writing about what’s going on in my life.

This weekend, my wife and I are in Las Vegas for a belated birthday trip, and I know what many of you are thinking: “yawn”.

So if you haven’t already, just skip to the bottom.

However! We’ll be in Vegas for NASCAR race weekend, which, as you’ll surely know, means we’ll be betting on Sunday’s South Point 400 (2:30 p.m. ET, NBC).

After going through the latest practice data and qualifying results, here’s my favorite bet for Sunday’s NASCAR race in Las Vegas.

RELATED: Updated odds on race day

NASCAR pick for Las Vegas

This bet has value for two very different reasons.

First, Erik Jones was very quick in practice, posting the third-fastest five-lap average. He struggled to take 22nd in qualifying, but he should have no trouble maneuvering in front with a fast race car.

And perhaps more importantly is the value we can find on Jones scoring a top 10 today in Las Vegas just by looking for the best odds.

For example, Jones is -125 at BetMGM and +130 at DraftKings for a top 10.

However, FanDuel is offering a significantly better price, +210, for Jones to finish among the top 10 cars in Sunday’s South Point 400.

Is there any reason to think Jones won’t be as fast this afternoon? Absolutely.

But getting such a large number on it compared to the rest of the market makes it a must bet for me.

The bet: Jones +210 for a Top 10

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