The last time Tennessee played in Miami, quarterback Ryan Tannehill led the Dolphins to a 27-20 victory over the Titans in Game 1 of the 2018 season.
On Sunday, Tannehill will face his former team for the first time since Miami traded him to Tennessee in the 2019 NFL Draft.
Tannehill and the Titans (10-5, 9-6 ATS) can clinch the AFC South title with a win and can claim the AFC No.1 seed with a win and loss of Kansas City to Cincinnati.
Tennessee have struggled offensively since losing NFL leader Derrick Henry in Week 8. But the Titans have won and covered their last two home games and got a boost with the return of wide receiver AJ Brown, who had 11 catches for 145 yards and a touchdown in a 20-17 win over the 49ers.
Tennessee have rested more since that Dec. 23 win, while the Dolphins work on a short week after beating the exhausted Saints on “Monday Night Football.”
Miami (8-7, 8-7 ATS) followed a seven-game losing streak with a seven-game winning streak. But the Dolphins have beaten bad teams in their run, including the Giants, Texans and Jets twice.
Fourth-year Titans coach Mike Vrabel is 39-24, and I’m counting on him and Tennessee to find a way to cover the 3-point favorites (at BetMGM).
Four other games (home team in CAPS):
Cardinals (+6) on COWBOYS: In sports betting, like the stock market, it is generally beneficial to buy low and sell high. Arizona have lost three straight games with a 0-3 ATS record as their stock collapsed. Dallas has won and covered four in a row as its stock has soared. As a result, the line is a bit swollen. Arizona is 7-1 ATS on the road this season and has covered five of the last six games with Dallas.
PATRIOTS (-15Â½) on Jaguars: New England must win and lose either the Raiders or the Dolphins to land a playoff berth. The Patriots desperately need a win to erase the bitter taste of losing streak after a seven-game winning streak. They should be able to work out their frustrations on Jacksonville, who is on a 0-6 skid and is the worst 4-11 ATS in the NFL. New England have the best defense in the league, allowing for 17.3 points per game, and are expected to eliminate the Jaguars in a resounding victory.
SEAHAWKS (-7Â½) on the Lions: I was one of the countless bettors who lost a teaser last week when Seattle lost a 24-14 fourth quarter lead in a 25-24 home loss to the Bears. That brutal loss is one of the reasons I’m taking the Seahawks to rebound against Detroit in what could be Russell Wilson’s last home game in Seattle. Professional bettors have told me that they enjoy betting on teams that have just suffered terrible losses.
Rams (-5Â½) on RAVENS: The battered Baltimore secondary was ripped apart in last week’s erupted loss to the Bengals, as Joe Burrow threw for 525 yards and four touchdowns. Now the Ravens face Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford, fourth in the league in passing yards (4,339) and second in touchdown passes (36). Los Angeles have won and covered four games in a row and can clinch the NFC West title with a win and a loss in Arizona.
Last week: 2-3